The useful frame isn't "AGI" but artificial capable intelligence — AI that can actually get complex tasks done in the world. Its power demands a containment strategy: technical and political guardrails that keep the coming wave a tool under human control.
Capability is proliferating and becoming more autonomous and cheaper to access, which makes it hard to contain. Left unmanaged, that wave pressures the nation-state and creates serious safety and security risks.
Durable, demonstrated containment mechanisms that reliably scale alongside capability.